The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is up 4.4% pre-market. This is the broadest semi rally in weeks, driven by MU joining the $1T club (+9% pre-market after +20% yesterday on AI memory shortage) and MRVL earnings anticipation (+6% pre-market).
Your rotation context: You planned to deploy ~$300K from META into semis (NVDA 30%, TSM 25%, ASML 20%, AMAT 10%, AVGO 10%). The sector is hot right now -- entry prices are elevated versus a week ago. Consider whether today's momentum makes you want to scale in faster or wait for a pullback after PCE data Thursday.
MRVL $208.26 (+6.1% pre-market) after hitting a record high yesterday (+6%).
Why it matters to you: MRVL was on your "skip" list, but its earnings will move the entire semi complex tonight. A beat and raise lifts NVDA/TSM/AVGO tomorrow. A miss could create the pullback entry you need for the rotation. Worth watching the call at 4:30 PM ET.
AVGO $422.01 (+1.9% pre-market). Q2 FY2026 earnings are estimated for June 3 at 5:00 PM ET.
If you're planning to allocate 10% (~$30K) to AVGO in the rotation, you may want to wait until post-earnings to size the full position. AVGO has been riding the AI ASIC tailwind hard -- analysts forecast 65% earnings growth to $16.36/share in FY2027.
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge drops Thursday morning. Markets are bracing for upward risk:
Implication: A hot PCE print could trigger a risk-off rotation out of growth/tech. If you're executing the semi rotation this week, Thursday morning is the key risk event. Scaling in before the print carries macro event risk.
The semi sector is running hot into MRVL earnings tonight, with SOXX +4.4% and MU extending its parabolic move. Your rotation targets (NVDA $214.86, TSM $412, AVGO $422, ASML $1,632) are all elevated versus last week. Two decision points this week:
If you're scaling in gradually (the right call in this environment), today or post-PCE Thursday are the decision windows. META at $612 is 23% below its 52-week high of $796 -- not an urgent sell unless you need to fund a conviction entry.